Monday Market Open

October’s cracking open and the market’s got that haunted feel. Charts twitching, headlines creeping, traders walking back in with blood on their hands and hunger in their eyes.

This is carve-or-be-carved season. The weak get spooked, the killers stay focused. Volatility’s just the mask opportunity wears this time of year.

Keep your head cold and your heart ruthless. The monsters aren’t in the charts, they’re the ones who panic first.

Taco Bell
TACO PT 3: NEVER DOUBT THE TACO

Trump hit the airwaves this weekend with another full-course TACO. He told reporters the U.S. “won’t play the rare-earth game,” doubled down on demands for soybean and fentanyl control, and warned China he’s ready to use that 100% tariff “if they don’t deal fair.” But even he admitted it’s “not sustainable.” Classic carrot-and-nuke strategy.

Treasury’s Scott Bessent tried to cool the sugar high, saying Washington won’t tweak policy just to pump stocks — a clear shot at traders banking on the usual “threat → dip → backtrack” loop. Meanwhile, China fired its WTO rep and accused the U.S. of “trade discrimination,” signaling the gloves are off.

Markets, as always, heard what they wanted: progress. Futures ripped overnight, algos smelled détente, and the TACO trade rolled again. But this time, it’s thinner ice — less bluff, more bite. Bulls are feasting, but one wrong headline and that taco turns into heartburn.

Ocean’s 11
LOURVE HEIST ENERGY

That’s what today feels like. The market opened like a crew of masked degenerates sprinting out of the Louvre with the Crown Jewels under their arm: no hesitation, no guilt, just smooth, fast money.

The same names that got smoked last week suddenly caught a bid like someone flipped the switch on a money printer.

Momentum traders are eating again. The weak hands got shaken out, the apes are back in the cockpit, and the only thing left behind is footprints and disbelief.

If you’re sitting on the sidelines thinking “this rally doesn’t make sense,” congratulations — you’re watching history, not participating in it. In a market this hot, logic is a liability.

Macro Analysis
BULL MARKET CHECKLIST BACK AT 8/8

Our Bull Market Checklist just hit a perfect score. All eight indicators are bullish. Let that sink in — 8 for 8, clean sweep, confirmed bull regime.

• Breakout Level: S&P cruising above February highs like they never existed.

• Trend: 200-day still rising for 117 consecutive days — the definition of strength.

• Momentum: RSI sitting in full bull mode, nowhere near exhaustion.

• Breadth: Breadth thrust from May still holding strong, meaning participation is wide and conviction is real.

• Risk Regime: “Risk On” and proud of it.

• Crowd Pressure: AD line rising, fear evaporating.

• Internal Strength: Core model reading 1.2, a monster number.

• Global Participation: Over 65% of world markets trading above their 50-day — this isn’t just a U.S. story anymore.

That’s the cleanest confirmation you’ll ever get in this game. It’s like every instrument in the orchestra is tuned to the same note. Bulls are conducting the show, bears are the audience.

China Trade
AC/DC: BACK IN BABA

The trade war drama is cooling off, and that means one thing: it’s time to dust off your $BABA charts and look alive. This setup is pure VHLA textbook: the first pullback after a massive stage 1 breakout. That’s the money spot.

If Trump and Xi even pretend to play nice for another week, China tech is going to rip faces off. $BABA, $PDD, $JD — pick your poison. The rotation back into East exposure could be the sleeper play of Q4.