The Shit to Know Thursdays

THE MARKET WAS GETTING TOO EASY — too predictable, too calm, too crowded with tourists pretending they were geniuses. This? This is fun. This is the part of the cycle where the real ones start smiling while everyone else panics. Volatility is back, charts are breaking, and the whole game just got sharper, faster, and way more honest.

This is where the folks who actually love the craft — the grinders, the pattern-readers, the ones who show up when it’s ugly — get separated from the sightseers who were here for the free gains. In other words: the ones who will make it vs. the brokies who won’t.

Welcome back to real markets.

Volatility
LIBERATION DAY PT 2: MARKET GETS SMOKED

Let’s bow our heads for the brave regards who bought $NVDA at 196 this morning. On paper, earnings were clean enough to justify a victory lap. In reality, the market treated it like a liquidation sale.

This is what happens when positioning is maxed out: strength becomes an exit, not confirmation. Every uptick gets slapped with sell pressure, and even high-conviction AI winners get thrown off the balcony.

The whole tape is trading like a giant short setup — energy drained, momentum cracked, liquidity thinning. When the market wants to cook everything at once, fundamentals don’t matter, timing does.

Market Theory
WHY IS EVERYTHING SELLING?

Everyone’s tossing their favorite excuses into the blender: AI bubble fears, Fed hinting cuts might pause or reverse, inflation grinding higher, jobs softening, SCUMBAG BURRY spooking the hype crowd.

But the most interesting theory circulating right now is the Google angle. Gemini 3 didn’t just drop — it dropped without NVDA. The real shock wasn’t performance; it was the hardware powering it. Google rolled out its TPUs and essentially signaled that they no longer need to rent NVIDIA’s margins.

This is a major narrative disruptor: custom ASICs that can undercut GPU economics and reposition GOOGL as the low-cost, high-efficiency backbone of AI infrastructure.

If this thesis sticks, the market has to re-price where the value capture flows. That uncertainty alone is enough to make everything wobble — not panic, just the realization that the AI hierarchy might be redrawing itself in real time.

Short Selling
INVERT, ALWAYS INVERT! IREN SHORT SETUP

Here’s a little secret for times like this: invert your chart on TradingView. Suddenly all those “ugly downtrends” transform into the cleanest bullish structures you’ve seen in months.

That’s the magic of bear markets — the beauty is upside-down. $IREN stands out right now because, in its inverted form, it looks like it’s coiling for a breakout. In real terms, that means it’s sitting on a perfect short setup.

Parabolic run, overextended sentiment, recent blow-off behavior, and a liquidity pocket right beneath current levels. The faster they rocket, the nastier they crater. Simple physics, market edition.

Bitcoin
SAYLOR ON SUICIDE WATCH

Watching Saylor sweat would be poetic. $MSTR has fallen roughly 40% this month and is now almost 70% off its highs. They’re holding 649,870 Bitcoin with a $74,433 average.

This is the first time in a long time the market is openly asking whether his diamond-hand empire can crack. A 15% drop in Bitcoin from here flips the entire position red.

That doesn’t automatically trigger forced liquidations, but it absolutely amps up the fear. And fear in a leveraged Bitcoin proxy like MSTR generates volatility that pulls the whole crypto complex with it. Whether or not Saylor gets roasted, the setup is fragile — and fragility is tradeable.